Saturday, November 15, 2025

Arvind Sanger: AI boom not a bubble yet, India missing out on opportunity

Date:

Arvind Sanger, Managing Partner at Geosphere Capital Management, believes the global artificial intelligence (AI) rally is not a bubble yet, and India has been “missing in action” in the AI space.“When everybody’s talking about a bubble, it’s not a bubble,” Sanger said. “It’s going to take when everybody stopped talking about a bubble, and people have said, okay, this is a new path, a new paradigm — that’s when the bubble will pop.”

The recent sale of Nvidia shares by SoftBank, he says, should not be seen as a warning signal. “I think it’s just profit taking because they have other investments to do,” Sanger said, adding that the demand for computing power continues to rise.

Commenting on US President Donald Trump’s recent remarks about H1-B visas, Sanger said they reflect the US administration’s focus on attracting “the best and the brightest” global talent for technology and science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) roles. “It will also help Indian IT somewhat, but I don’t think that’s the central thesis,” he said, adding that major US tech firms are competing to hire talent worldwide for artificial intelligence (AI) and other advanced fields.For the Indian markets, Sanger believes the US-India trade agreement is far more important than the ongoing Bihar state elections.

“The trade agreement is the most important needle mover for investor sentiment,” Sanger told CNBC-TV18. He added that while recent upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs are positive, they are secondary to the impact a trade pact could have.Sanger said the Bihar elections are “nice, but not needle movers” in the broader market context. He noted that India’s valuation correction over the year and the relatively stable rupee amid dollar volatility have made the country more attractive to foreign institutional investors. “India is back on the radar screen for global fund managers,” he said.

Also Read | This $196 million fund CIO expects PSU banks, OMCs to drive next rally

Also Read | Ashwini Agarwal: Weak FII flows, expensive IPOs keeping market nervous

For the full interview, watch the accompanying video

Catch all the latest updates from the stock market here

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