Wednesday, June 4, 2025

BlackRock’s Ben Powell warns against overexposure to US, bets on India instead

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Ben Powell, Chief of Middle East & APAC at BlackRock Investment Institute, continues to favour India in its emerging market equity strategy, citing strong demographic trends, rising productivity, and growing geopolitical relevance.”We think India is on the right side of a lot of these huge tectonic shifts,” he said. He noted that India is likely to surpass Japan in gross domestic product (GDP) within the next few quarters, driven by labour force growth and technology gains. BlackRock continues to favour India in its emerging market equity strategy.

Despite global uncertainties, Powell said US equities have shown strong performance. He attributed the recent gains to the impact of artificial intelligence (AI), which he described as a strong force supporting the market despite geopolitical risks.

Also Read | India may outpace all emerging markets, says Milken Institute economist
Powell acknowledged the weakening dollar and rising concerns about overexposure to one region, saying, “Having all your eggs in one basket, even a beautiful basket like the US, feels a bit riskier.” As a result, BlackRock is looking to selectively diversify into other geographies, especially within emerging markets.Discussing the broader environment, Powell said the investment landscape today is far more complex than it was a decade ago, due to persistent geopolitical risks such as the Russia-Ukraine war. He warned that waiting for complete clarity before investing may not be realistic, stating, “We are just going to have to learn to live with this kind of backdrop.”

Also Read | US deficit is a growing threat to global equities: Geoffrey Dennis

On global trade, Powell pointed to rising tariffs as a sign of long-term structural change. Even long-standing allies like the UK have faced 10% tariffs, which Powell called a potential “best case” for future trade deals. This, he explained, could mean structurally higher inflation. “We are deliberately injecting less efficiency into the trading system for political reasons,” he said, highlighting a shift from economic optimisation towards strategic alliances.

For the full interview, watch the accompanying video

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