Fourth quarter growth likely to beat estimates

India GDP Data Live Updates: For the full financial year 2024–25, economists expect GDP growth of 6.3%, just below the government’s earlier estimate of 6.5%.India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the January–March 2025 quarter (Q4FY25), due to be released today at 4 pm, is expected to come in stronger than the previous two quarters.A CNBC-TV18 poll estimates Q4 GDP growth at 6.8%, compared to 6.2% in Q3 and 5.6% in Q2. Gross value added (GVA) growth is projected to be slightly lower at 6.5%.For the full financial year 2024–25, economists expect GDP growth of 6.3%, just below the government’s earlier estimate of 6.5%.Some economists expect a positive surprise, with GDP growth possibly exceeding 6.8%, partly due to a drop in government subsidies. However, they note that true economic growth, reflected in GVA, may be lower than the headline number.JP Morgan forecasts Q4 GDP growth at 7.5% year-on-year (YoY), while GVA growth is expected at 6.7%, up from 6.2% in the previous quarter.

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