The trajectory for trade will be a key factor determining whether Japan’s economy enters a technical recession in the current quarter after weak external demand and sluggish private consumption resulted in a contraction in the previous period. In April, exports to the US fell, led by a drop in autos.
As with other nations, Japan faces a 25% tariff on cars and their parts and a minimum 10% levy on other goods across the board. President Donald Trump doubled a levy on steel and aluminum to 50% in early June, and the 10% tariff is set to revert to 24% in early July, barring a deal.On May 12, the US and China, Japan’s two biggest trading partners, announced that they had reached a temporary agreement on reducing tariffs. But tensions have flared since then, with Trump complaining earlier this week that Chinese leader Xi Jinping is “hard to make a deal with.”
Japan and the US are continuing to negotiate on the tariffs as they eye possibly announcing a deal on the sidelines of the Group of Seven leaders’ gathering in Canada later this month. Japan’s top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa said upon arrival in Washington Thursday that he would continue to press for a removal of all tariffs.