Friday, August 1, 2025

Kotak Mahindra Bank shares fall over 6%, the most in 15 months after Q1 results

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Shares of private lender Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. fell as much as 6% on Monday, July 28, in response to its quarterly results that were reported on Saturday.For the June quarter, Kotak Mahindra Bank’s Net Interest Margin (NIMs) fell more than 30 basis points from last year, while analysts expectations were for a drop of close to 20 basis points.
The management has highlighted that NIMs will bottom in the September quarter and will stabilise in the second half.
Even as loan growth stood at 14% from last year, it was driven higher by the corporate banking segment, which is a low margin business. The credit card business declined by 4% sequentially, while Personal Loans saw decline of 2% from last year.Brokerage firm Nomura maintained its “neutral” rating on the stock with a price target of ₹2,150.
It has cut its Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates for the lender by 3% to 7% for financial year 2026-2028, while anticipating an Return on Assets (RoA) and Return on Equity (RoE) of 1.8% to 2% and 11% to 12% respectively over the same timeframe.At 1.9 times financial year 2027 book value per share, Nomura sees limited upside potential for the stock.

Morgan Stanley remains “overweight” on Kotak Bank with a price target of ₹2,600, in anticipation of earnings to accelerate from the second quarter, which can also be a tough one.

Lagged repricing of deposits, benefits of the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) cut and improvement in its loan mix could trigger this earnings acceleration, the brokerage said.

Bernstein has a “market-perform” rating on the lender with a price target of ₹1,970. The brokerage said that credit costs are at a multi-quarter high, while asset quality has worsened.

26 out of the 44 analysts covering Kotak Mahindra Bank have a “buy” rating on the stock, 13 of them have a “hold” rating, while five have a “sell” recommendation.

Shares of Kotak Mahindra Bank are trading 6.3% lower at ₹1,990.3. The stock is down 13% from its recent 52-week high of ₹2,301.

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