Friday, August 1, 2025

Motilal Oswal upgrades this retail stock after Q1 results, projects 29% upside

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V-Mart Retail Ltd. shares can rise up to 29%, according to brokerage firm Motilal Oswal Financial Services, who upgraded the stock on Monday, July 28.The brokerage has upgraded its rating on the stock to “buy” from “hold” and revised its price target to ₹1,035 per share from ₹945 apiece.
V-Mart Retail’s revenue increased 13% in the first quarter, led by 14% store additions as same store sales growth (SSSG) was muted at 1% due to Eid shifting to the fourth quarter of FY25.

Its EBITDA increased 28% beating estimates of a 15% rise, driven by lower inventory provisioning and reduced advertising and promotion (A&P) spends, and also its EBITDA margin expanded by 165 basis points to 14.3%.The company’s management continues to target 12-15% net store additions and mid-to-high single-digit SSSG, with consistent improvement in profitability driven by disciplined cost controls across segments, the brokerage said.

Motilal Oswal said the improved productivity of VMART / unlimited stores, closure of non-performing stores and lower losses in the online segment have led to an improvement in VMART’s overall profitability.

V-Mart remains a key beneficiary of the unorganised-to-organised retail shift and the massive growth opportunity in value fashion, the brokerage said.However, with aggressive store expansion by many value retailers, the rising competition in value retail remains a key watch, it said.

The brokerage has raised its FY26 and 27 EBITDA estimates by 2% each, driven by stronger margin performance in the core VMART profit. It said it models a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% and 25% in revenue and EBITDA, respectively, over FY25-28, driven by 12% CAGR in store additions, mid-single-digit SSSG.

The brokerage said the stock’s recent correction — declining 9% in the past month and 20% this year, so far — along with improved profitability, makes its valuations attractive.

Of the 15 analysts that have coverage on the stock, 13 have a “buy” rating and one each have “hold” and “sell” ratings.

Shares of V-Mart Retail were trading 1% lower at ₹795.9 apiece.

Also Read: Mphasis shares gain after multiple upgrades, raised targets by analysts post Q1 results

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