Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Nifty 50 valuation slips below three-year average

Date:

Nifty 50, the benchmark index of India’s fifty biggest companies by market capitalisation, is now valued slightly less than the average of the last three years. On the other hand, despite the latest bout of sell-off, particularly by foreign portfolio investors, midcap and smallcap indices are still trading above the three-year average price to earnings ratio.

Company Value Change %Change

Index 3-year avg Feb 12 Peak Peak date
Nifty 50 19.15 19.14 21.3 Sep 30, 2024
Nifty midcap 50 26.1 28.3 35.4 Sep 24, 2024
Nifty small cap 100 18.2 21.2 24.6 Nov 12, 2024

The valuation figures cited above is the ratio of price divided by the estimated one-year forward earnings. Price to earnings ratio is a metric that describes how much the market is willing to pay for every rupee of future profit and therefore, the ratio is expressed in multiples i.e. number of times.Markets with lower price-to-earnings ratio are considered to be more attractive or better bargains than those valued higher.

“We are at 19 times earnings on the Nifty, and we have corrected 12-13% from the top. If we assume 18 times earnings as the base, there could be another 5-6% downside left on the Nifty,” Vinit Sambre, Head of Equities at DSP Mutual Fund, which manages assets worth nearly $22.29 billion, told CNBC-TV18 on Wednesday.
At the height of the market euphoria in the second half of last year, India has been widely described as the most expensive equity market in the world. However, the downtrend since then has tempered the excitement and the valuations.As seen in the table above, while Nifty 50 and the Nifty Midcap 50 peaked in late September, it took another month and a half for the tide to turn for smallcap stocks. Smallcap investors have lost ₹4 lakh crore as index plunged 20% in the last two months.

“Most of the risks are now on the table, so whether it is Trump tariffs, whether it’s some slowdown in earnings. By the way, if you see a broader universe, it’s not as bad as what has been made out to be,” Gurmeet Chadha, Managing Partner and chief investment officer at Complete Circle, said.

The Mumbai-Based Chaddha who managed ₹610 crore in funds, as per SEBI data at the end of December 2024 sees opportunities in banks, chemicals, and defence stocks.

After five straight days of sell-off, indices staged a sharp intra-day recovery on February 12. Data as of 12:50 pm.

After five straight days of sell-off, indices staged a sharp intra-day recovery on February 12. Data as of 12:50 pm. Both midcap and smallcap stocks lost more than 8% of their value in the three trading sessions.

Read more: Amidst the market crash, Pankaj Tibrewal cites 5 reasons to turn bullish

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