Sunday, June 22, 2025

Top Power Picks: JSW Energy, NTPC feature in Jefferies’ list; check potential upside

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Shares of power companies like Torrent Power Ltd., NTPC Ltd., Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd., JSW Energy Ltd., among others were trading with gains of as much as 5% on Wednesday, March 19.Power stocks are rallying as generation increases amid strong summer demand.
In February 2025, power demand rose 6% year-on-year, adjusted for the 29 days in February 2024. Power generation is up 9% year-on-year so far in March. Year-to-date (YTD) demand is up 4% year-on-year and is expected to end at 4.5% in FY25E based on the February-March recovery.
Global brokerage firm Jefferies said that JSW Energy and NTPC remain its top picks, with price targets of 700 and 500, respectively.
The brokerage mentioned that power demand typically rises in summer due to soaring temperatures. It believes that demand will be a key driver for power stocks in the near term, in addition to the medium-term growth story.Axis Capital remains constructive on power stocks. The brokerage wrote in its note that electricity consumption in March 2025 has been strong so far, up 6.6% year-on-year.

Peak power demand in March 2025 has reached 235 GW so far, up 6.1% year-on-year, compared to 238 GW in February, which was up 6.9% year-on-year.

The country will likely witness an extreme summer, with more heatwave days during March – May period in most parts of India, according to an Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast.

IMD expects above normal-temperature on most days this summer, except over Northeast India, extreme north India and southwestern and southern parts of Peninsular India.

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