Thursday, July 31, 2025

Trump-Musk rift may strain tech’s ties with Republicans, says Mark Matthews

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The fallout between US President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk has sparked debate over Silicon Valley’s political alignments and what that might mean for markets.Mark Matthews of Bank Julius Baer, said the closeness between the two was unusual to begin with. Musk was among the first tech leaders to publicly back Trump last year, donating hundreds of millions of dollars to the Republican Party. “Other tech billionaires followed suit once Trump’s win seemed certain,” Matthews added.

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Now that Musk has distanced himself from Trump, Matthews believes it may be a sign of deeper shifts. “Silicon Valley will become increasingly disenfranchised,” he said, though he added that the broader market implications are still uncertain. “There are so many variables, it is difficult to say whether it is a negative or a positive.”
Matthews also highlighted concerns with the US fiscal deficit, which is projected to rise to 9% next year from the current 6–7%. “That doesn’t look good. The US used to run deficits of 2–3%, and countries like Sri Lanka, Pakistan, and Nigeria run 9% deficits,” he noted. He added that Musk may also be reacting to the rollback of electric vehicle credits.Also Read | Donald Trump-Elon Musk Battle: A timeline of the turn of events

On the global market outlook, Matthews pointed to a shift away from the US as the dominant investment destination. “For 15 years, we had this massive outperformance of the US versus the rest of the world. That’s ended,” he said. Political uncertainty and rising deficits are contributing to a weaker dollar, which he believes will continue.

He expects other regions to do better. “Hong Kong should continue to outperform. Korea is very cheap,” though he noted competition from Chinese firms like BYD, Huawei, and Xiaomi. “India is a good story. It remains a good story,” Matthews said, but added that since it was already performing well, it may not be one of the top outperformers going forward.

For the full interview, watch the accompanying video

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