Prize Announcement: The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on Friday, 10 October, at 11 am Oslo time (2:30 pm IST). Speculation around possible winners has intensified in recent weeks. Among the most discussed candidates is US President Donald Trump. He has repeatedly claimed that his efforts in global conflicts, including the Gaza ceasefire, make him deserving of the prestigious award. (Image: Reuters)
Trump Campaign: The White House has dubbed Trump “The Peace President” following the Israel-Hamas agreement to pause fighting in Gaza and release hostages. The announcement on social media coincided with the timing of the Nobel Prize announcement. Trump and his team appear to be leveraging this timing to highlight his recent diplomatic activities ahead of the committee’s decision. (Image: Reuters)
Expert Opinions: Despite Trump’s high-profile endorsements and public campaign, experts say he is unlikely to win the prize this year. Observers note that lobbying and self-promotion are rarely successful with the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The committee evaluates candidates based on long-term impact and alignment with Alfred Nobel’s original criteria for promoting peace. (Image: Reuters)
Candidate Numbers: The Norwegian Nobel Committee confirmed 338 nominations for the 2025 Peace Prize. These include 244 individuals and 94 organisations. While the list is officially confidential for 50 years, some nominations become public through nominators. Only submissions before 1 February 2025 are eligible, and the committee warns that nomination does not imply endorsement or guarantee consideration. (Image: Shutterstock)
Prize History: The Nobel Peace Prize was established in the will of Swedish industrialist Alfred Nobel. First awarded in 1901, it is given to those who work for fraternity among nations, the reduction of standing armies, or the promotion of peace congresses. The prize is managed by a five-member Norwegian committee, with final decisions made by majority vote after careful assessment. (Image: Reuters)
Trump Nominations: Trump has been nominated by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Pakistan Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir, Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet, US Congressman Buddy Carter, and lawmakers from Sweden and Norway. However, nominations submitted after the February deadline, including Netanyahu’s and Pakistan’s, are ineligible for 2025 consideration. The committee emphasises that nominations are not endorsements. (Image: Reuters)
Committee Stance: Asle Toje, deputy leader of the Norwegian Nobel Committee, said influence campaigns have a negative effect. Candidates who push aggressively for the prize are generally not favoured. The committee prefers to work confidentially and without outside pressure. Public lobbying is often viewed as contrary to the intended process, which focuses on quiet and thorough evaluation of contributions to peace.
Trump Chances: Nobel experts widely doubt Trump will win in 2025. Peter Wallensteen, a Swedish professor, said, “No, it will not be Trump this year. But perhaps next year?” Experts note that short-term conflict management, like stopping fighting in Gaza, differs from resolving the underlying causes of conflict. Analysts stress the importance of sustainable, long-term peace efforts in prize decisions. (Image: AP)
Other Frontrunners: Other possible winners include Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, Yulia Navalnaya, the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights, UN Secretary-General António Guterres, UNRWA, UNHCR, the ICC, ICJ, and press freedom organisations. Individual nominees include Imran Khan, Anwar Ibrahim, and Elon Musk. These candidates have been recognised for work in human rights, diplomacy, refugee support, and protecting freedom of speech. (Image: Reuters)

