Iran war going beyond four weeks from now could trigger global recession: Neelkanth Mishra

Neelkanth Mishra, Head of Global Research at Axis Capital and Chief Economist at Axis Bank, says the Iran conflict is a major macro risk for India given its heavy dependence on energy imports. A prolonged disruption could wipe out around 7% of global energy supply and raise the risk of a global recession if it lasts beyond four weeks. While the impact on growth, inflation and currency may be one-time, supply shocks and second-order effects could worsen. Markets may need to panic before a resolution emerges. Axis Bank stock was trading at ₹1,221 at 9:37 am on the NSE, up over 16% in the past year.