Ambit Investment Managers’ Managing Director Dhiraj Agarwal says emerging markets are in a risk-off phase due to Middle East tensions, a stronger dollar and rising crude prices. India, highly dependent on oil imports, is particularly vulnerable. He sees a very high probability of a 10% market correction, with a deeper 15–20% fall possible if crude stays elevated. Agarwal remains cautious on IT due to AI disruption and expects consumer staples to face long-term valuation derating.
