The U.S. and Iran have agreed to hold talks in Oman on Friday amid heightened tensions as the US builds up forces in the Middle East and regional players seek to avoid a military confrontation that many fear could escalate into a wider war.
About a fifth of the world’s total oil consumption passes through the Strait of Hormuz between Oman and Iran. Other OPEC members, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq, export most of their crude via the strait, as does Iran.”Escalating geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran have contributed to higher oil prices,” Capital Economics analysts said in a note.
“But we think that geopolitical fears will give way to weak fundamentals,” they said, pointing to a recovery in Kazakhstan’s oil output which will help push oil prices lower towards $50 per barrel by end-2026.
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