Saturday, August 8, 2026

Rupee opens weaker at 94.95 per dollar; oil moves, capital outflows weigh

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The Indian rupee opened at 94.95 against the US dollar on Monday (May 4), slipping 4 paise from Thursday’s (April 30’s) close of 94.91, as currency markets reacted to elevated crude prices and persistent foreign fund outflows.The local unit had settled at 94.91 in the previous session after touching an all-time low of 95.33. Domestic financial markets were shut on Friday (May 1).

Crude oil prices showed some pullback in early Asian trade after the US said it would begin efforts to free ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump said the move was aimed at easing disruptions for neutral nations, though he offered limited details.
Brent crude July futures eased toward $105.50 a barrel before edging back near $108, with traders closely tracking developments in US–Iran negotiations.
Despite the temporary relief in oil prices, analysts expect limited downside for crude due to the lack of progress in geopolitical negotiations, which continues to keep energy markets volatile.The rupee has remained under pressure in recent sessions, declining nearly 2% over the past eight trading days. The weakness reflects the impact of elevated oil prices, which have increased hedging activity by importers and sustained dollar demand from oil refiners.

Foreign portfolio investor (FPI) flows have also weighed on the currency. Outflows from Indian equities stood at nearly $6.5 billion in April, taking total withdrawals in 2026 to about $20.6 billion—already exceeding last year’s levels.

Market participants said the rupee’s near-term outlook remains challenging due to a combination of weak sentiment, continued capital outflows, and pressures from the Reserve Bank of India’s forward book positions, which have added to supply-demand imbalances in the currency market.

With agencies inputs

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