Estimates suggest a potential annual tariff revenue loss of $10 billion for developing countries, and over $500 million for India, due to the moratorium, which has been in place since 1998. While member countries agreed to continue talks on unresolved issues at the WTO headquarters in Geneva, a lack of extension could mean the imposition of duties on electronic transmissions after 28 years of waiver. Since May 1998, WTO members have agreed biennially not to impose customs duties on electronic transmissions, extending the moratorium every two years until the recently concluded MC-14.
The WTO’s work programme defines e-commerce as the production, distribution, marketing, sale or delivery of goods and services by electronic means. Noting that challenges have arisen due to the digitisation of many goods, India has indicated that the scope of the moratorium needs to account for physical goods that have been digitised over time, with streaming services replacing CDs and DVDs, and e-books replacing physical books. Having already placed papers inviting further discussions on subjects such as consumer protection, digital public infrastructure, and competition, government sources stressed the need to promote competition in the e-commerce space.GTRI Founder Ajay Shrivastava said the lapse of the duty waiver would open the door for countries to impose tariffs on digital transmissions, adding that most gains from such waivers benefit top US tech companies, including Google and Meta. As profits and revenues of players in the digital transmission space continue to rise, the moratorium has limited the ability of developing countries to generate additional tariff revenue by regulating such imports.
At the last WTO Ministerial (MC-13) in Abu Dhabi, India had sought continued discussions on the scope and objective of the e-commerce moratorium. While the United States backed extension of the moratorium, several developed and developing countries remained divided on the issue. An Indian government official said: “We are not in favour of extension. We are in favour of continuation of the work programme. There is a need to look at the subject from a development dimension and not from the perspective of big tech companies. There is a need to discuss the scope of the moratorium as there are revenue implications, and there is a need for a clear definition of e-commerce trade. We need policy space for the sector.”

