Thursday, July 9, 2026

Japan’s exports scale up despite war and Trump tariffs as China comes to rescue

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Japan’s export numbers increased more quickly in March as Chinese demand recovered. While the Middle East war hasn’t yet had much of an influence on imports.According to the Finance Ministry’s report on Wednesday, the value of total exports increased 11.7% in March compared to the same month last year, quickening from a corrected 4% rate in February. The outcome exceeded the 11% increase predicted by the median analyst. Imports increased 10.9% after rising 10.3% the month before.

Bloomberg reported that the unadjusted trade surplus increased to ¥667 billion ($4.2 billion).
The information comes at a time when authorities are still trying to determine how the Middle East crisis is going to affect the economy.Japan’s trade balance appears to be unaffected thus far by Iran’s closing of the Strait of Hormuz and the ensuing increase in oil prices. Crude oil imports decreased 7.3% in value but increased in volume.A day before the ceasefire with Iran was about to expire, President Donald Trump declared on Tuesday that he was extending it indefinitely, despite the collapse of plans for new negotiations between the two nations.There isn’t a lack of oil in Japan right now. By using its oil reserves and alternative sources to the Strait of Hormuz, the nation can ensure a sufficient supply of crude this year, according to the trade ministry.
Trade partners throughout the region have benefited from China’s return from vacation and strong first-quarter growth. A 70.9% increase in shipments to China propelled South Korea’s export growth in early April, according to figures released on Tuesday. Korean exports to China increased by 64.2% in March.In the meantime, supply chain issues brought on by the US war against Iran were overshadowed by the explosive worldwide demand for artificial intelligence chips, which caused Taiwan’s shipments to China to reach a record in March.Also Read: Asian markets remain cautious even as Donald Trump extends ceasefire with Iran amid talksThe Bloomberg report also suggested that the data showed the effect of US tariffs.Car exports to the US increased 2.3% in volume but were down 1.6% in value, indicating that Japanese automakers are still bearing the brunt of the levy.For resource-constrained Japan, the Middle East’s unpredictability has increased the risk of inflation. By increasing the cost of imports, persistent yen depreciation is also contributing to inflationary pressure. According to the ministry, the average value of the currency was 156.60 per dollar in March, which was 4.7% less than it was in the same month the previous year.The Bank of Japan’s decision-making process is being complicated by the Iranian crisis. The economy is being negatively impacted by rising energy costs, even as the central bank is under more pressure to hike interest rates due to growing inflation threats. According to persons acquainted with the situation, the BOJ is leaning toward maintaining its policy rate at its next decision on April 28. (Edited by : Juviraj Anchil)

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